Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, driven by their "Liekinheitin" triumph at UMK on February 28 and sustained momentum from high jury scores, televote energy, and top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points last week. France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe ("Regarde!"), announced March 6, has climbed to 13.5% on standout live performances boosting her frontrunner status. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem", DMGP winner February 14) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse", selected March 1) follow at 10.1% and 7.2%, with Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 6.8% gaining televote traction post-official music video drop March 11. As Vienna semis approach May 12-14, pre-parties and remaining national finals could spark shifts in this volatile jury-televote dynamic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.5%
法国 13.5%
丹麦 10.1%
澳大利亚 7.1%
$51,114,164 交易量
$51,114,164 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
卢森堡
1%
克罗地亚
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
芬兰 35.5%
法国 13.5%
丹麦 10.1%
澳大利亚 7.1%
$51,114,164 交易量
$51,114,164 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
卢森堡
1%
克罗地亚
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, driven by their "Liekinheitin" triumph at UMK on February 28 and sustained momentum from high jury scores, televote energy, and top OGAE fan votes like France's 12 points last week. France's 17-year-old soprano Monroe ("Regarde!"), announced March 6, has climbed to 13.5% on standout live performances boosting her frontrunner status. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før Vi Går Hjem", DMGP winner February 14) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse", selected March 1) follow at 10.1% and 7.2%, with Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 6.8% gaining televote traction post-official music video drop March 11. As Vienna semis approach May 12-14, pre-parties and remaining national finals could spark shifts in this volatile jury-televote dynamic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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