Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points through strong jury and televote support, signaling broad appeal with violin-driven energy reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." France trails at 13% buoyed by Monroe's entry and OGAE momentum, while Denmark (10%) leverages polished pop craftsmanship; Australia (8%) and Greece (7%) draw diaspora voting power and staging hype. With national selections ongoing—Romania, Poland, and others revealing finalists—the wide-open field reflects trader caution amid Vienna's May 12-16 contest, where rehearsals and running orders could shift jury-televote dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.0%
法国 13.1%
丹麦 10.7%
澳大利亚 8.0%
$49,634,034 交易量
$49,634,034 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
2%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
瑞士
1%
德国
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
卢森堡
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
黑山
<1%
芬兰 35.0%
法国 13.1%
丹麦 10.7%
澳大利亚 8.0%
$49,634,034 交易量
$49,634,034 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
2%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
瑞士
1%
德国
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
卢森堡
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
黑山
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points through strong jury and televote support, signaling broad appeal with violin-driven energy reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." France trails at 13% buoyed by Monroe's entry and OGAE momentum, while Denmark (10%) leverages polished pop craftsmanship; Australia (8%) and Greece (7%) draw diaspora voting power and staging hype. With national selections ongoing—Romania, Poland, and others revealing finalists—the wide-open field reflects trader caution amid Vienna's May 12-16 contest, where rehearsals and running orders could shift jury-televote dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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