Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.2%
丹麦 10.3%
澳大利亚 7.9%
$50,026,515 交易量
$50,026,515 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
2%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
瑞士
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.2%
丹麦 10.3%
澳大利亚 7.9%
$50,026,515 交易量
$50,026,515 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
2%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
瑞士
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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