Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with "Liekinheitin," propelled by their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, blending jury acclaim and televote surge reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe follows at 13.2% on "Regarde!," a sleek internal selection earning jury favoritism as a Big 5 auto-finalist, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.3% with "Før vi går hjem" despite recent controversy over his pro-Israel social media post. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") trail with strong staging potential and viral buzz, but the wide-open field underscores risks from untested live rehearsals and split jury-televote dynamics ahead of Vienna's May semifinals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.2%
丹麦 10.4%
澳大利亚 7.9%
$49,545,458 交易量
$49,545,458 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
瑞士
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
黑山
<1%
芬兰 34.8%
法国 13.2%
丹麦 10.4%
澳大利亚 7.9%
$49,545,458 交易量
$49,545,458 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
瑞士
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
黑山
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with "Liekinheitin," propelled by their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, blending jury acclaim and televote surge reminiscent of past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe follows at 13.2% on "Regarde!," a sleek internal selection earning jury favoritism as a Big 5 auto-finalist, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.3% with "Før vi går hjem" despite recent controversy over his pro-Israel social media post. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") trail with strong staging potential and viral buzz, but the wide-open field underscores risks from untested live rehearsals and split jury-televote dynamics ahead of Vienna's May semifinals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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