Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to the top of trader consensus at 35.8% implied probability following their dominant UMK 2026 national final win in late February, securing strong jury scores alongside massive televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent public reaction videos and OGAE poll leads, including France's 12 points, have solidified this momentum amid positive staging tweaks. France's Regarde Monroe trails at 14.2% with rising precursor buzz, while Denmark (10.1%), Australia (6.5%), and Greece's Akylas "Ferto" (6.3%) hold firm on accessible pop appeal and fan polls. With Vienna rehearsals looming in May, early previews like Eurovision in Concert on April 11 could shift these closely contested dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.7%
法国 14.2%
丹麦 10.1%
澳大利亚 6.5%
$54,696,270 交易量
$54,696,270 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 35.7%
法国 14.2%
丹麦 10.1%
澳大利亚 6.5%
$54,696,270 交易量
$54,696,270 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to the top of trader consensus at 35.8% implied probability following their dominant UMK 2026 national final win in late February, securing strong jury scores alongside massive televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent public reaction videos and OGAE poll leads, including France's 12 points, have solidified this momentum amid positive staging tweaks. France's Regarde Monroe trails at 14.2% with rising precursor buzz, while Denmark (10.1%), Australia (6.5%), and Greece's Akylas "Ferto" (6.3%) hold firm on accessible pop appeal and fan polls. With Vienna rehearsals looming in May, early previews like Eurovision in Concert on April 11 could shift these closely contested dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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