The-Joker

加入时间 10月 2025·57.2K 浏览量

Portwatch Villain.

$91.4K

持仓价值

$11.1K

最高赢利

2,414

交易过的市场

总盈亏: +$155.8K
总交易量: 8.1M

盈亏

$8,584.45

过去 24 小时

盘口

均价

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 份额

14¢

13.5¢

$16,630.19-$615.81 (-3.57%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 份额

$16,630.19-$615.81 (-3.57%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 份额

89.8¢

95¢

$10,737.45$583.41 (5.75%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 份额

$10,737.45$583.41 (5.75%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 份额

65¢

71¢

$9,774.26$815.53 (9.1%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 份额

$9,774.26$815.53 (9.1%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 份额

64¢

62.5¢

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 份额

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 份额

90.4¢

92.8¢

$6,709.39$167.45 (2.56%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 份额

$6,709.39$167.45 (2.56%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 份额

73¢

75¢

$5,687.42$151.72 (2.74%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 份额

$5,687.42$151.72 (2.74%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 份额

79.8¢

87.5¢

$4,907.70$430.59 (9.62%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 份额

$4,907.70$430.59 (9.62%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 份额

78¢

82.3¢

$3,292.00$172.00 (5.51%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 份额

$3,292.00$172.00 (5.51%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 份额

70¢

58.5¢

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 份额

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 份额

30.1¢

59.3¢

$2,730.30$1,343.65 (96.9%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 份额

$2,730.30$1,343.65 (96.9%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 份额

60.3¢

73.5¢

$2,231.46$399.62 (21.81%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 份额

$2,231.46$399.62 (21.81%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 份额

82¢

93.5¢

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 份额

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 份额

57.8¢

55.5¢

$1,479.74-$62.21 (-4.03%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 份额

$1,479.74-$62.21 (-4.03%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 份额

38.1¢

27.5¢

$1,472.58-$568.45 (-27.85%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 份额

$1,472.58-$568.45 (-27.85%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 份额

48.2¢

24.5¢

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 份额

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 份额

19.3¢

22.5¢

$1,233.82$175.64 (16.6%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 份额

$1,233.82$175.64 (16.6%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 份额

67.9¢

57¢

$1,058.62-$202.30 (-16.04%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 份额

$1,058.62-$202.30 (-16.04%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 份额

66.4¢

58¢

$915.30-$131.81 (-12.59%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 份额

$915.30-$131.81 (-12.59%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 份额

69.6¢

97.6¢

$833.24$238.76 (40.16%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 份额

$833.24$238.76 (40.16%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 72¢

1,006.1 份额

72¢

79.5¢

$799.85$75.59 (10.44%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 72¢

1,006.1 份额

$799.85$75.59 (10.44%)