Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed in January 2026 following the U.S. capture and extradition of Nicolás Maduro on drug trafficking charges, with the military and Supreme Court affirming her under constitutional succession rules. Recent consolidation of power, including her March 18 replacement of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and other senior commanders, has bolstered her position amid a fragile transition marked by oil sector privatizations, political prisoner releases, and U.S. diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing New York court proceedings, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) reflect hopes for elections or upheaval, though repressive structures persist and U.S. threats of indicting Rodríguez add uncertainty before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
德尔西·罗德里格斯 65%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 16.2%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 14%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯 1.0%
$78,239,875 交易量
$78,239,875 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
德尔西·罗德里格斯
65%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
16%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
14%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
1%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
1%
没有国家元首
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
<1%
丹·凯恩
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
<1%
德尔西·罗德里格斯 65%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 16.2%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 14%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯 1.0%
$78,239,875 交易量
$78,239,875 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
德尔西·罗德里格斯
$1,255,566 交易量
65%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
$885,989 交易量
16%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
$858,687 交易量
14%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
$448,778 交易量
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
$1,258,412 交易量
1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
$448,695 交易量
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
$687,478 交易量
1%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
$863,929 交易量
1%
没有国家元首
$741,017 交易量
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
$2,060,293 交易量
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$652,916 交易量
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
$24,634,283 交易量
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
$8,145,190 交易量
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
$2,747,396 交易量
<1%
丹·凯恩
$1,967,274 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
$30,583,971 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed in January 2026 following the U.S. capture and extradition of Nicolás Maduro on drug trafficking charges, with the military and Supreme Court affirming her under constitutional succession rules. Recent consolidation of power, including her March 18 replacement of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and other senior commanders, has bolstered her position amid a fragile transition marked by oil sector privatizations, political prisoner releases, and U.S. diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing New York court proceedings, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) reflect hopes for elections or upheaval, though repressive structures persist and U.S. threats of indicting Rodríguez add uncertainty before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$78,239,875结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed in January 2026 following the U.S. capture and extradition of Nicolás Maduro on drug trafficking charges, with the military and Supreme Court affirming her under constitutional succession rules. Recent consolidation of power, including her March 18 replacement of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and other senior commanders, has bolstered her position amid a fragile transition marked by oil sector privatizations, political prisoner releases, and U.S. diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing New York court proceedings, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) reflect hopes for elections or upheaval, though repressive structures persist and U.S. threats of indicting Rodríguez add uncertainty before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
交易量
$78,239,875结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability as Venezuela's interim president, a position she assumed in January 2026 following the U.S. capture and extradition of Nicolás Maduro on drug trafficking charges, with the military and Supreme Court affirming her under constitutional succession rules. Recent consolidation of power, including her March 18 replacement of longtime defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and other senior commanders, has bolstered her position amid a fragile transition marked by oil sector privatizations, political prisoner releases, and U.S. diplomatic engagement under the Trump administration. Maduro trails at 16.3% amid his ongoing New York court proceedings, while opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) reflect hopes for elections or upheaval, though repressive structures persist and U.S. threats of indicting Rodríguez add uncertainty before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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