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2026年底委内瑞拉领导人?

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2026年底委内瑞拉领导人?

德尔西·罗德里格斯 56%

玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 19%

尼古拉斯·马杜罗 12.9%

埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$42,671,417 交易量

德尔西·罗德里格斯 56%

玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 19%

尼古拉斯·马杜罗 12.9%

埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯 2.8%

Polymarket

$42,671,417 交易量

德尔西·罗德里格斯

$1,112,203 交易量

56%

玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多

$791,555 交易量

19%

尼古拉斯·马杜罗

$681,931 交易量

13%

埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯

$341,258 交易量

3%

弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯

$418,986 交易量

1%

豪尔赫·罗德里格斯

$784,187 交易量

1%

迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东

$1,116,058 交易量

1%

没有国家元首

$640,211 交易量

1%

马尔科·鲁比奥

$629,095 交易量

<1%

唐纳德·特朗普

$650,785 交易量

<1%

迪诺拉·菲格拉

$2,004,231 交易量

<1%

皮特·赫格塞斯

$7,924,379 交易量

<1%

丹·凯恩

$1,332,780 交易量

<1%

弗兰克·多诺万

$24,243,757 交易量

<1%

埃文·佩图斯

$0 交易量

<1%

理查德·格雷内尔

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.

If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.

In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.

If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
交易量
$42,671,417
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa. In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年底委内瑞拉领导人?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "德尔西·罗德里格斯" at 56%, followed by "玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年底委内瑞拉领导人?" has generated $42.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年底委内瑞拉领导人?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年底委内瑞拉领导人?" is "德尔西·罗德里格斯" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年底委内瑞拉领导人?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.