balthazar

加入时间 1月 2025·36.5K 浏览量

$324.7K

持仓价值

$107.5K

最高赢利

85,702

交易过的市场

总盈亏: +$1.1M
总交易量: 75.7M

盈亏

$8,634.25

过去 24 小时

盘口

均价

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

39,000.0 份额

50¢

90.5¢

$35,295.00$15,795.00 (81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

39,000.0 份额

$35,295.00$15,795.00 (81%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.4¢

42,417.8 份额

84.4¢

79.9¢

$33,870.62-$1,919.90 (-5.36%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.4¢

42,417.8 份额

$33,870.62-$1,919.90 (-5.36%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 份额

77.8¢

87.1¢

$15,498.52$1,652.71 (11.94%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 份额

$15,498.52$1,652.71 (11.94%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 份额

81.5¢

78¢

$11,503.70-$512.28 (-4.26%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 份额

$11,503.70-$512.28 (-4.26%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 份额

69.5¢

82.5¢

$10,098.41$1,587.65 (18.65%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 份额

$10,098.41$1,587.65 (18.65%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

44,946.5 份额

11.1¢

19¢

$8,539.84$3,542.76 (70.9%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

44,946.5 份额

$8,539.84$3,542.76 (70.9%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,593.4 份额

63.8¢

90¢

$5,934.10$1,727.92 (41.08%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,593.4 份额

$5,934.10$1,727.92 (41.08%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 份额

33.7¢

68.5¢

$5,929.28$3,015.19 (103.47%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 份额

$5,929.28$3,015.19 (103.47%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 份额

61.7¢

86.5¢

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 份额

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.8¢

5,154.2 份额

78.8¢

91¢

$4,690.35$629.26 (15.49%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.8¢

5,154.2 份额

$4,690.35$629.26 (15.49%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

39,000.0 份额

50¢

9.5¢

$3,705.00-$15,795.00 (-81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

39,000.0 份额

$3,705.00-$15,795.00 (-81%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 份额

91.8¢

96.7¢

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 份额

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 份额

62.7¢

86.5¢

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 份额

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 份额

64.5¢

97.9¢

$2,680.96$912.40 (51.59%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 份额

$2,680.96$912.40 (51.59%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 份额

95.3¢

98¢

$2,625.71$71.66 (2.81%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 份额

$2,625.71$71.66 (2.81%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 份额

11.6¢

19¢

$2,575.52$1,008.57 (64.36%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 份额

$2,575.52$1,008.57 (64.36%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 份额

26.4¢

17¢

$2,379.75-$1,319.42 (-35.67%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 份额

$2,379.75-$1,319.42 (-35.67%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 份额

20.1¢

11.5¢

$2,104.71-$1,565.59 (-42.66%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 份额

$2,104.71-$1,565.59 (-42.66%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.7¢

2,529.1 份额

75.7¢

80.5¢

$2,035.92$120.98 (6.32%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.7¢

2,529.1 份额

$2,035.92$120.98 (6.32%)

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 96.4¢

2,040.0 份额

96.4¢

98.8¢

$2,014.50$47.94 (2.44%)

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 96.4¢

2,040.0 份额

$2,014.50$47.94 (2.44%)