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Sam Bankman 預測與賠率

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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

53%

Donald Brodie

$220K 交易量

$125K Liq.

16

Ends 8 個月內

SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

7%

$357K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

44%

$4.9K 交易量

$401 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

25%

$11.1K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K 交易量

$12.2K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

66%

↓ $7,100

$189K 交易量

$47.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

23%

$419K 交易量

$28.5K Liq.

53

Ends 8 個月內

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

70%

↓ $730

$485K 交易量

$199K Liq.

3

Ends 15 天內

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

eternal premium

$725 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

17%

$8.7K 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in May 2026?

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in May 2026?

70%

↓ $85

$56.8K 交易量

$25.5K Liq.

Ends 15 天內

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

eternal premium

$17.1K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 23 天前

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$105K 交易量

$12.8K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K 交易量

17

Ends 30 天前

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

55%

↓ 75,000

$18M 交易量

$935K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 15 天內

UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64%

Kai Asakura

$238 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Ethan Quinn

Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Ethan Quinn

73%

Tommy Paul

$3.2K 交易量

$34.0K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Wingman

$1.2K 交易量

Ends 27 天前

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

78%

↑ 45

$336 交易量

$657 Liq.

Ends 15 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Sam Bankman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SBF released from custody in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sam Bankman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.