Skip to main content

經濟衰退 預測與賠率

·
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

20%

$2M 交易量

$21.5K Liq.

69

Ends 8 個月內

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

31%

$4.0K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

3

Ends 10 個月內

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

26%

$2.1K 交易量

$678 Liq.

Ends 10 個月內

Canada recession before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

19%

$67.2K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

4

Ends 7 個月內

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

81%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 28?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 28?

98%

$725

$11.1K 交易量

$28.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 8 小時內

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

69%

$590K 交易量

$50.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

55%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

130

Ends 7 個月內

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

8%

$27.6K 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$161K 交易量

$14.6K Liq.

10

Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth?

Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth?

34%

17.5%–20%

$7.8K 交易量

$12.9K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

89%

Up

$25.3K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$485K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

31

Ends 超過 1 年內

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

13%

↑ $760

$1M 交易量

$141K Liq.

4

Ends 4 天內

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

95%

$170 billion

$3.0K 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

Ends 11 個月內

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

43%

>2.5%

$29.1K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

43%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.7K 交易量

$3.0K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

51%

↓ $740

$5 交易量

$232 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

38%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$484 Liq.

5

Ends 7 個月內

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

4%

3-4%

$2.1K 交易量

$628 Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 經濟衰退.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 經濟衰退 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US recession by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 經濟衰退 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.