Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

80%

↑4.35%

$20 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

70%

No Bond chosen

$2M 交易量

$117K Liq.

16

Ends 3 個月內

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

4%

$61.7K 交易量

$23.2K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

6%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$9.2K Liq.

29

Ends 2 個月前

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

15%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$17.4K Liq.

56

Ends 2 個月前

SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

10%

$309K 交易量

$35.9K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

5%

$14.7K 交易量

$25.8K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

7%

$5.3K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

6

Ends 9 個月內

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

7%

$3.3K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

98%

Analilia Mejia

$2.5K 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

14%

Sean Johnson

$20.5K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

100%

↓3.66%

$2.4K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

77%

Kash Patel

$759K 交易量

$326K today

$106K Liq.

6

Ends 9 個月內

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

49%

Lee Zeldin

$40.2K 交易量

$104K Liq.

4

Ends 3 個月內

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

13%

$282K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

43

Ends 9 個月內

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 10 天前

Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Down

$21.2K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$704 Liq.

Ends 大約 23 小時內

Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Down

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$672 Liq.

Ends 大約 23 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 債券.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for 債券 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 債券 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.