Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) end-of-March levels tilts bullish, with market-implied odds favoring a close above 18,000 at around 65%, fueled by resilient AI-driven gains in megacap tech like Nvidia and Microsoft amid a 7% YTD index rally to current levels near 18,300. Key catalysts include the FOMC meeting on March 20, where dot-plot updates could affirm three 2024 rate cuts (now priced at 75bps by futures), supporting risk assets despite sticky 3.2% core CPI. Watch March 28 GDP data and threshold resistance at 18,500; historical March volatility averages 4%, underscoring resolution risks if inflation surprises hotter.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$59,783 交易量
↓ 20400
3%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19650
1%
↓ 19350
2%
↓ 18975
2%
$59,783 交易量
↓ 20400
3%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19650
1%
↓ 19350
2%
↓ 18975
2%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX).
Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) end-of-March levels tilts bullish, with market-implied odds favoring a close above 18,000 at around 65%, fueled by resilient AI-driven gains in megacap tech like Nvidia and Microsoft amid a 7% YTD index rally to current levels near 18,300. Key catalysts include the FOMC meeting on March 20, where dot-plot updates could affirm three 2024 rate cuts (now priced at 75bps by futures), supporting risk assets despite sticky 3.2% core CPI. Watch March 28 GDP data and threshold resistance at 18,500; historical March volatility averages 4%, underscoring resolution risks if inflation surprises hotter.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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