Market icon
金融·從新建中隱藏

納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？

Market icon
金融·從新建中隱藏

納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？

12月 31

12月 31

最新
2026-12-31
Polymarket

$5,062 交易量

Polymarket

>38,000

$1,454 交易量

24%

>33,000美元

$1,248 交易量

6%

>30,000美元

$596 交易量

9%

>27,000美元

$65 交易量

22%

>24,000美元

$548 交易量

42%

>19,000美元

$1,151 交易量

82%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 has slid into correction territory in Q1 2026, down over 10% from its peak and 4.8% year-to-date through April 2 amid AI exhaustion and sector rotation, with the index trading near 24,000. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March meeting, projecting one cut later in 2026 as unemployment rose to 4.4% and inflation lingers above target. Trader consensus hinges on Q1 earnings season starting April 22 with Microsoft, forecasting 13% growth driven by robust AI capital expenditures from megacap leaders. Upcoming FOMC minutes on April 9 and nonfarm payrolls could sway rate path expectations, influencing valuation multiples for the tech-heavy benchmark through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$5,062
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 has slid into correction territory in Q1 2026, down over 10% from its peak and 4.8% year-to-date through April 2 amid AI exhaustion and sector rotation, with the index trading near 24,000. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March meeting, projecting one cut later in 2026 as unemployment rose to 4.4% and inflation lingers above target. Trader consensus hinges on Q1 earnings season starting April 22 with Microsoft, forecasting 13% growth driven by robust AI capital expenditures from megacap leaders. Upcoming FOMC minutes on April 9 and nonfarm payrolls could sway rate path expectations, influencing valuation multiples for the tech-heavy benchmark through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$5,062
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">19,000美元" at 82%, followed by ">24,000美元" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？" is ">19,000美元" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">24,000美元" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.