The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$970,169 交易量
2026-03-31
↑ $8,000
否
↑ $7,500
否
↑ 7,300美元
否
↑ 7,200
否
↑ 7,100美元
否
↑ 7,000元
否
↑ 6,900美元
否
↑ 6,800美元
是
↓ 6,600美元
是
↓ 6,500美元
是
↓ 6,400
是
↓ 6,300美元
否
↓ 6,200美元
否
↓ 6,000
否
↓ 5,000
否
$970,169 交易量
↑ $8,000
$111,490 交易量
否
↑ $7,500
$43,393 交易量
否
↑ 7,300美元
$78,678 交易量
否
↑ 7,200
$6,586 交易量
否
↑ 7,100美元
$51,277 交易量
否
↑ 7,000元
$30,015 交易量
否
↑ 6,900美元
$71,048 交易量
否
↑ 6,800美元
$0 交易量
是
↓ 6,600美元
$0 交易量
是
↓ 6,500美元
$0 交易量
是
↓ 6,400
$73,330 交易量
是
↓ 6,300美元
$211,096 交易量
否
↓ 6,200美元
$52,149 交易量
否
↓ 6,000
$65,513 交易量
否
↓ 5,000
$175,595 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
交易量
$970,169結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$970,169結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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