The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528.52, reflecting a 2.91% daily surge driven by de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict and President Trump's optimistic remarks on a potential swift end to hostilities, which fueled a risk-on rebound to cap Q1. The index declined roughly 4% over March from an opening near 6,822, pressured by mega-cap technology underperformance, rising recession probabilities, and persistent inflation worries amid choppy Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations. Year-to-date, SPX is down about 4.6%, underscoring trader caution in prediction markets. Upcoming Q1 earnings reports, April CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls stand as pivotal catalysts for Q2 positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$144,565 交易量
2026-03-31
>7,100美元
否
>7,000美元
否
>6,900美元
否
>6,800美元
否
>6,700美元
否
>6,600美元
否
>6,500美元
是
$144,565 交易量
>7,100美元
$2,188 交易量
否
>7,000美元
$2,982 交易量
否
>6,900美元
$15,680 交易量
否
>6,800美元
$2,892 交易量
否
>6,700美元
$13,243 交易量
否
>6,600美元
$40,497 交易量
否
>6,500美元
$67,082 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528.52, reflecting a 2.91% daily surge driven by de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict and President Trump's optimistic remarks on a potential swift end to hostilities, which fueled a risk-on rebound to cap Q1. The index declined roughly 4% over March from an opening near 6,822, pressured by mega-cap technology underperformance, rising recession probabilities, and persistent inflation worries amid choppy Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations. Year-to-date, SPX is down about 4.6%, underscoring trader caution in prediction markets. Upcoming Q1 earnings reports, April CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls stand as pivotal catalysts for Q2 positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Mar 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$144,565結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528.52, reflecting a 2.91% daily surge driven by de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict and President Trump's optimistic remarks on a potential swift end to hostilities, which fueled a risk-on rebound to cap Q1. The index declined roughly 4% over March from an opening near 6,822, pressured by mega-cap technology underperformance, rising recession probabilities, and persistent inflation worries amid choppy Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations. Year-to-date, SPX is down about 4.6%, underscoring trader caution in prediction markets. Upcoming Q1 earnings reports, April CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls stand as pivotal catalysts for Q2 positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$144,565結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528.52, reflecting a 2.91% daily surge driven by de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict and President Trump's optimistic remarks on a potential swift end to hostilities, which fueled a risk-on rebound to cap Q1. The index declined roughly 4% over March from an opening near 6,822, pressured by mega-cap technology underperformance, rising recession probabilities, and persistent inflation worries amid choppy Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations. Year-to-date, SPX is down about 4.6%, underscoring trader caution in prediction markets. Upcoming Q1 earnings reports, April CPI data, and nonfarm payrolls stand as pivotal catalysts for Q2 positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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