Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at virtually 100% probability, anchored by final FlightAware data reporting totals well below that threshold—consistent with just 223 cancellations that day. Amid March 2026's broader aviation strains from TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown, high callout rates at major hubs, and lingering effects of mid-month storms, March 29 stood out with stable operations, evidenced by TSA screening 2.76 million passengers without widespread disruptions and no significant weather events. FAA air traffic reports noted no nationwide ground stops or volume constraints. Scenarios to upend this include rare FlightAware data revisions or disputes over resolution sourcing, though market rules tie directly to their daily US delay tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 交易量
$22,385 交易量
2026-03-27
6,500-7,000
<1%
6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 交易量
$22,385 交易量
2026-03-27
6,500-7,000
$1,574 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at virtually 100% probability, anchored by final FlightAware data reporting totals well below that threshold—consistent with just 223 cancellations that day. Amid March 2026's broader aviation strains from TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown, high callout rates at major hubs, and lingering effects of mid-month storms, March 29 stood out with stable operations, evidenced by TSA screening 2.76 million passengers without widespread disruptions and no significant weather events. FAA air traffic reports noted no nationwide ground stops or volume constraints. Scenarios to upend this include rare FlightAware data revisions or disputes over resolution sourcing, though market rules tie directly to their daily US delay tallies.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$22,385結束日期
2026-03-29市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET已提議結果: 否
爭議期
最終
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at virtually 100% probability, anchored by final FlightAware data reporting totals well below that threshold—consistent with just 223 cancellations that day. Amid March 2026's broader aviation strains from TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown, high callout rates at major hubs, and lingering effects of mid-month storms, March 29 stood out with stable operations, evidenced by TSA screening 2.76 million passengers without widespread disruptions and no significant weather events. FAA air traffic reports noted no nationwide ground stops or volume constraints. Scenarios to upend this include rare FlightAware data revisions or disputes over resolution sourcing, though market rules tie directly to their daily US delay tallies.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$22,385結束日期
2026-03-29市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET已提議結果: 否
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at virtually 100% probability, anchored by final FlightAware data reporting totals well below that threshold—consistent with just 223 cancellations that day. Amid March 2026's broader aviation strains from TSA staffing shortages tied to the partial government shutdown, high callout rates at major hubs, and lingering effects of mid-month storms, March 29 stood out with stable operations, evidenced by TSA screening 2.76 million passengers without widespread disruptions and no significant weather events. FAA air traffic reports noted no nationwide ground stops or volume constraints. Scenarios to upend this include rare FlightAware data revisions or disputes over resolution sourcing, though market rules tie directly to their daily US delay tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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