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全新Half-Life遊戲，截止日期為... ？

Market icon

全新Half-Life遊戲，截止日期為... ？

$15,989 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$15,989 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$3,824 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Valve's enduring silence on a new Half-Life game, with no official announcements despite persistent rumors tying Half-Life 3—codenamed HLX—to a potential Steam Deck successor launch. Recent code leaks in CS2 beta (April 1) and Dota 2 updates (March 25) referencing HLX physics and particles have fueled speculation of active development, but a February Valve veteran dismissed claims of a completed title. Industry dynamics favor Valve's multiplayer hits like CS2 and Deadlock over single-player campaigns post-Alyx (2020), while fan mods like Half-Life Lemmings (April 8 release) fill the void. Watch for Summer Game Fest reveals or Steam hardware events that could shift sentiment.

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$15,989
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Valve's enduring silence on a new Half-Life game, with no official announcements despite persistent rumors tying Half-Life 3—codenamed HLX—to a potential Steam Deck successor launch. Recent code leaks in CS2 beta (April 1) and Dota 2 updates (March 25) referencing HLX physics and particles have fueled speculation of active development, but a February Valve veteran dismissed claims of a completed title. Industry dynamics favor Valve's multiplayer hits like CS2 and Deadlock over single-player campaigns post-Alyx (2020), while fan mods like Half-Life Lemmings (April 8 release) fill the void. Watch for Summer Game Fest reveals or Steam hardware events that could shift sentiment.

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$15,989
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"全新Half-Life遊戲，截止日期為... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 8%, followed by "2025年12月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "全新Half-Life遊戲，截止日期為... ？" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "全新Half-Life遊戲，截止日期為... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "全新Half-Life遊戲，截止日期為... ？" is "2026年6月30日" at just 8%, with "2025年12月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "全新Half-Life遊戲，截止日期為... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.