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Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Market icon

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

$709,147 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$709,147 交易量

Polymarket

March 31

$623,384 交易量

1%

April 30

$83,717 交易量

3%

5月31日

$830 交易量

8%

6月30日

$1,216 交易量

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and a figure speculated in succession discussions, remains firmly in Tehran according to official Iranian statements, with trader consensus reflecting heavy skepticism toward unverified social media claims of his departure. Recent Israel-Iran escalations, including Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military facilities and Tehran's restrained missile responses, have fueled opposition narratives alleging elite flight amid potential war risks, but no credible evidence—such as state media confirmations, witness accounts, or intelligence leaks—substantiates this. Domestic protests have waned without linking to Khamenei family movements, while economic sanctions and diplomatic isolation persist as background pressures. Watch for any leadership health updates or further military actions that could amplify rumors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$709,147
結束日期
Apr 30, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and a figure speculated in succession discussions, remains firmly in Tehran according to official Iranian statements, with trader consensus reflecting heavy skepticism toward unverified social media claims of his departure. Recent Israel-Iran escalations, including Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military facilities and Tehran's restrained missile responses, have fueled opposition narratives alleging elite flight amid potential war risks, but no credible evidence—such as state media confirmations, witness accounts, or intelligence leaks—substantiates this. Domestic protests have waned without linking to Khamenei family movements, while economic sanctions and diplomatic isolation persist as background pressures. Watch for any leadership health updates or further military actions that could amplify rumors.

Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and a figure speculated in succession discussions, remains firmly in Tehran according to official Iranian statements, with trader consensus reflecting heavy skepticism toward unverified social media claims of his departure. Recent Israel-Iran escalations, including Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military facilities and Tehran's restrained missile responses, have fueled opposition narratives alleging elite flight amid potential war risks, but no credible evidence—such as state media confirmations, witness accounts, or intelligence leaks—substantiates this. Domestic protests have waned without linking to Khamenei family movements, while economic sanctions and diplomatic isolation persist as background pressures. Watch for any leadership health updates or further military actions that could amplify rumors.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 12%, followed by "5月31日" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?" has generated $709.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?" is "6月30日" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5月31日" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.