Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $70-75 billion raise at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus for the 70-80B outcome at 26% implied probability amid closely contested odds with 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18.5%). This positioning reflects uncertainty over final sizing, as the company transitions from a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, with Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones bolstering optimism but macro volatility and regulatory hurdles tempering higher brackets. Key differentiators include launch cadence dominance versus execution risks on Mars ambitions; upcoming investor briefings in April and a possible June listing could clarify the raise amid surging space sector sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$82,374 交易量
$82,374 交易量
<40B
6%
40-50B
15%
50-60B
19%
60-70B
18%
70-80B
26%
80-90B
12%
90-100B
5%
100-110B
1%
110-120B
1%
1200億以上
2%
$82,374 交易量
$82,374 交易量
<40B
$8,340 交易量
6%
40-50B
$4,949 交易量
15%
50-60B
$15,387 交易量
19%
60-70B
$7,316 交易量
18%
70-80B
$10,762 交易量
26%
80-90B
$7,298 交易量
12%
90-100B
$7,729 交易量
5%
100-110B
$5,899 交易量
1%
110-120B
$7,620 交易量
1%
1200億以上
$7,073 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $70-75 billion raise at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus for the 70-80B outcome at 26% implied probability amid closely contested odds with 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18.5%). This positioning reflects uncertainty over final sizing, as the company transitions from a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, with Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones bolstering optimism but macro volatility and regulatory hurdles tempering higher brackets. Key differentiators include launch cadence dominance versus execution risks on Mars ambitions; upcoming investor briefings in April and a possible June listing could clarify the raise amid surging space sector sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$82,374市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $70-75 billion raise at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus for the 70-80B outcome at 26% implied probability amid closely contested odds with 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18.5%). This positioning reflects uncertainty over final sizing, as the company transitions from a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, with Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones bolstering optimism but macro volatility and regulatory hurdles tempering higher brackets. Key differentiators include launch cadence dominance versus execution risks on Mars ambitions; upcoming investor briefings in April and a possible June listing could clarify the raise amid surging space sector sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$82,374市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports indicate SpaceX is preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $70-75 billion raise at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation, fueling trader consensus for the 70-80B outcome at 26% implied probability amid closely contested odds with 50-60B (19%) and 60-70B (18.5%). This positioning reflects uncertainty over final sizing, as the company transitions from a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion valuation, with Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones bolstering optimism but macro volatility and regulatory hurdles tempering higher brackets. Key differentiators include launch cadence dominance versus execution risks on Mars ambitions; upcoming investor briefings in April and a possible June listing could clarify the raise amid surging space sector sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions