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Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

20°C 36%

19°C 24%

21°C 18%

18°C 15%

Polymarket

$154,162 交易量

20°C 36%

19°C 24%

21°C 18%

18°C 15%

Polymarket

$154,162 交易量

13°C or below

$4,501 交易量

<1%

14°C

$109,226 交易量

<1%

15°C

$17,912 交易量

<1%

16°C

$8,414 交易量

<1%

17°C

$2,355 交易量

3%

18°C

$2,972 交易量

15%

19°C

$1,801 交易量

24%

20°C

$2,549 交易量

36%

21°C

$3,097 交易量

18%

22°C

$2,038 交易量

4%

23°C or higher

$2,299 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution source—under cloudy skies with northerly winds and areas of afternoon drizzle clearing briefly before returning overnight. Trader consensus favors 20°C at 34.5% implied probability, driven by today's observed high of 21.4°C surpassing the 20°C forecast amid gusty northerlies, plus NIWA's seasonal outlook for above-average March temperatures in the region. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, potential for stronger warm northerly advection, and drizzle timing; lesser cloud breaks or reduced precipitation could push toward 21°C (17.5%), while persistent overcast favors 18–19°C. Evening model updates may refine diurnal maximum before resolution.

MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution source—under cloudy skies with northerly winds and areas of afternoon drizzle clearing briefly before returning overnight. Trader consensus favors 20°C at 34.5% implied probability, driven by today's observed high of 21.4°C surpassing the 20°C forecast amid gusty northerlies, plus NIWA's seasonal outlook for above-average March temperatures in the region. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, potential for stronger warm northerly advection, and drizzle timing; lesser cloud breaks or reduced precipitation could push toward 21°C (17.5%), while persistent overcast favors 18–19°C. Evening model updates may refine diurnal maximum before resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution source—under cloudy skies with northerly winds and areas of afternoon drizzle clearing briefly before returning overnight. Trader consensus favors 20°C at 34.5% implied probability, driven by today's observed high of 21.4°C surpassing the 20°C forecast amid gusty northerlies, plus NIWA's seasonal outlook for above-average March temperatures in the region. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, potential for stronger warm northerly advection, and drizzle timing; lesser cloud breaks or reduced precipitation could push toward 21°C (17.5%), while persistent overcast favors 18–19°C. Evening model updates may refine diurnal maximum before resolution.

MetService's latest forecast, issued March 28, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution source—under cloudy skies with northerly winds and areas of afternoon drizzle clearing briefly before returning overnight. Trader consensus favors 20°C at 34.5% implied probability, driven by today's observed high of 21.4°C surpassing the 20°C forecast amid gusty northerlies, plus NIWA's seasonal outlook for above-average March temperatures in the region. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, potential for stronger warm northerly advection, and drizzle timing; lesser cloud breaks or reduced precipitation could push toward 21°C (17.5%), while persistent overcast favors 18–19°C. Evening model updates may refine diurnal maximum before resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20°C" at 36%, followed by "19°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" has generated $154.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" is "20°C" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "19°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.