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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Mar 29

Mar 29

28°C 44%

29°C 24%

27°C 21%

30°C 11.7%

Polymarket

$97,669 交易量

28°C 44%

29°C 24%

27°C 21%

30°C 11.7%

Polymarket

$97,669 交易量

24°C

$10,568 交易量

<1%

25°C

$14,111 交易量

<1%

26°C

$18,197 交易量

<1%

27°C

$5,081 交易量

21%

28°C

$3,634 交易量

44%

29°C

$4,495 交易量

24%

30°C

$4,123 交易量

8%

31°C or higher

$5,223 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 28°C (32.5%) and 27°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driven by latest China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts like AccuWeather (28°C peak) and Metcheck (27-28°C hourly maxima under partly sunny skies). Recent warm spell—26-28th highs of 28-29°C, well above March's 23°C climatological average—reflects subtropical high-pressure ridging enhancing insolation, but high humidity (70-90%), sea breezes, and scattered low-level clouds or passing showers cap further intensification, with 29°C (21%) hinging on afternoon clearing. Model disagreements and near-airport station readings (27-28.5°C so far) underscore uncertainty; monitor hourly observations through evening for resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 28°C (32.5%) and 27°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driven by latest China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts like AccuWeather (28°C peak) and Metcheck (27-28°C hourly maxima under partly sunny skies). Recent warm spell—26-28th highs of 28-29°C, well above March's 23°C climatological average—reflects subtropical high-pressure ridging enhancing insolation, but high humidity (70-90%), sea breezes, and scattered low-level clouds or passing showers cap further intensification, with 29°C (21%) hinging on afternoon clearing. Model disagreements and near-airport station readings (27-28.5°C so far) underscore uncertainty; monitor hourly observations through evening for resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 28°C (32.5%) and 27°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driven by latest China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts like AccuWeather (28°C peak) and Metcheck (27-28°C hourly maxima under partly sunny skies). Recent warm spell—26-28th highs of 28-29°C, well above March's 23°C climatological average—reflects subtropical high-pressure ridging enhancing insolation, but high humidity (70-90%), sea breezes, and scattered low-level clouds or passing showers cap further intensification, with 29°C (21%) hinging on afternoon clearing. Model disagreements and near-airport station readings (27-28.5°C so far) underscore uncertainty; monitor hourly observations through evening for resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 28°C (32.5%) and 27°C (31.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driven by latest China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts like AccuWeather (28°C peak) and Metcheck (27-28°C hourly maxima under partly sunny skies). Recent warm spell—26-28th highs of 28-29°C, well above March's 23°C climatological average—reflects subtropical high-pressure ridging enhancing insolation, but high humidity (70-90%), sea breezes, and scattered low-level clouds or passing showers cap further intensification, with 29°C (21%) hinging on afternoon clearing. Model disagreements and near-airport station readings (27-28.5°C so far) underscore uncertainty; monitor hourly observations through evening for resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 44%, followed by "29°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" has generated $97.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" is "28°C" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.