Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.2% implied probability to a Seattle high temperature of 54-55°F on March 28, driven by official observations from the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) automated surface observing system, which recorded the daily maximum in that narrow range amid partly sunny skies and a persistent marine layer suppressing warmer air intrusion. National Weather Service forecasts issued early that day accurately predicted a high near 55°F, consistent with climatological norms for late March—where average highs hover around 56°F—and model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System showing limited solar heating due to cloud cover and cool Pacific inflow. Realistic challenges include a potential revision in the final NWS climatological report if quality-controlled data uncovers a higher peak from hourly METARs, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1-2°F; traders await the daily CLI summary for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 28?
54-55°F 99.4%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
70°F or higher <1%
$152,867 交易量
$152,867 交易量
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 99.4%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
70°F or higher <1%
$152,867 交易量
$152,867 交易量
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.2% implied probability to a Seattle high temperature of 54-55°F on March 28, driven by official observations from the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) automated surface observing system, which recorded the daily maximum in that narrow range amid partly sunny skies and a persistent marine layer suppressing warmer air intrusion. National Weather Service forecasts issued early that day accurately predicted a high near 55°F, consistent with climatological norms for late March—where average highs hover around 56°F—and model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System showing limited solar heating due to cloud cover and cool Pacific inflow. Realistic challenges include a potential revision in the final NWS climatological report if quality-controlled data uncovers a higher peak from hourly METARs, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1-2°F; traders await the daily CLI summary for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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