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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

52-53°F 30%

50-51°F 27%

54-55°F 25%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

52-53°F 30%

50-51°F 27%

54-55°F 25%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

47°F or below

$592 交易量

10%

48-49°F

$411 交易量

13%

50-51°F

$1,412 交易量

27%

52-53°F

$487 交易量

28%

54-55°F

$828 交易量

21%

56-57°F

$260 交易量

7%

58-59°F

$254 交易量

6%

60-61°F

$433 交易量

2%

62-63°F

$289 交易量

1%

64-65°F

$287 交易量

<1%

66°F or higher

$472 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 50-55°F highs for New York City on March 29, mirroring National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 52°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds from a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Northeast. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converge tightly in this range after a cool front cleared mid-week, ushering mild Atlantic air with low precipitation odds, though subtle differences arise from variable morning cloud decks potentially capping peaks at 50-51°F versus clearer breaks allowing 54-55°F. NYC's urban heat island may nudge Central Park observations 1-2°F above model guidance. Watch 12z forecast updates for refinements ahead of typical spring volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,670
結束日期
Mar 29, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 50-55°F highs for New York City on March 29, mirroring National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 52°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds from a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Northeast. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converge tightly in this range after a cool front cleared mid-week, ushering mild Atlantic air with low precipitation odds, though subtle differences arise from variable morning cloud decks potentially capping peaks at 50-51°F versus clearer breaks allowing 54-55°F. NYC's urban heat island may nudge Central Park observations 1-2°F above model guidance. Watch 12z forecast updates for refinements ahead of typical spring volatility.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 50-55°F highs for New York City on March 29, mirroring National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 52°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds from a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Northeast. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converge tightly in this range after a cool front cleared mid-week, ushering mild Atlantic air with low precipitation odds, though subtle differences arise from variable morning cloud decks potentially capping peaks at 50-51°F versus clearer breaks allowing 54-55°F. NYC's urban heat island may nudge Central Park observations 1-2°F above model guidance. Watch 12z forecast updates for refinements ahead of typical spring volatility.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "52-53°F" at 28%, followed by "50-51°F" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is "52-53°F" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-51°F" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.