Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 67°F or below in Los Angeles on March 28, 2026, driven by verified observational data from automated surface observing systems at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), recording a daily high of 66°F as corroborated by Weather Underground historical records and National Weather Service preliminary reports. This outcome followed an extraordinary March heat wave—featuring a record seven 90°F+ days downtown—abruptly moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, onshore flow, and elevated humidity that capped daytime heating despite typical late-March climatological averages near 70°F. While post-resolution adjustments to official NWS climatological summaries are possible but exceedingly rare for established daily maxima, discrepancies between airport and downtown USC station readings could theoretically prompt review, though current data alignment precludes meaningful challenge. NWS final CLI report expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
67°F or below 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$102,800 交易量
$102,800 交易量
67°F or below
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$102,800 交易量
$102,800 交易量
67°F or below
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 67°F or below in Los Angeles on March 28, 2026, driven by verified observational data from automated surface observing systems at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), recording a daily high of 66°F as corroborated by Weather Underground historical records and National Weather Service preliminary reports. This outcome followed an extraordinary March heat wave—featuring a record seven 90°F+ days downtown—abruptly moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, onshore flow, and elevated humidity that capped daytime heating despite typical late-March climatological averages near 70°F. While post-resolution adjustments to official NWS climatological summaries are possible but exceedingly rare for established daily maxima, discrepancies between airport and downtown USC station readings could theoretically prompt review, though current data alignment precludes meaningful challenge. NWS final CLI report expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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