National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project a high near 72°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 3, anchoring trader sentiment in the tightly clustered 70-75°F outcomes with implied probabilities around 20-23% for top bins. This reflects typical early April climatology, where average highs hover at 70-72°F amid transitioning La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor mild onshore flow without Santa Ana winds. Key differentiators include marine layer persistence—thicker stratus clouds delaying coastal clearing could limit peaks to 70-71°F, while a stronger high-pressure ridge or earlier burn-off might elevate to 74-75°F. Ensemble spread highlights 2-day forecast uncertainty; monitor NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard updates and 00Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official USC observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
78°F or higher 14%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
8%
78°F or higher
14%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
78°F or higher 14%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
8%
78°F or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project a high near 72°F in downtown Los Angeles on April 3, anchoring trader sentiment in the tightly clustered 70-75°F outcomes with implied probabilities around 20-23% for top bins. This reflects typical early April climatology, where average highs hover at 70-72°F amid transitioning La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions that favor mild onshore flow without Santa Ana winds. Key differentiators include marine layer persistence—thicker stratus clouds delaying coastal clearing could limit peaks to 70-71°F, while a stronger high-pressure ridge or earlier burn-off might elevate to 74-75°F. Ensemble spread highlights 2-day forecast uncertainty; monitor NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard updates and 00Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official USC observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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