Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), Lagos's primary weather station and Polymarket resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on April 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. METAR reports, such as the 14:00 UTC reading of 35°C under broken clouds and light southerly winds, confirm this peak during afternoon hours, aligning with typical late-dry-season patterns where clear skies and low humidity enable highs 2–3°C above April's 32°C average. Pre-event forecasts from NiMet anticipated thundery showers limiting peaks to 32°C, but observed partly cloudy conditions allowed greater solar heating. Realistic challenges would require data revisions from aviation logs or NiMet audits—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—while upcoming daily summaries may solidify this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日拉各斯的最高溫度?
4月15日拉各斯的最高溫度?
35°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,221 交易量
$86,221 交易量
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C或以上
否
35°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,221 交易量
$86,221 交易量
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), Lagos's primary weather station and Polymarket resolution source, recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on April 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. METAR reports, such as the 14:00 UTC reading of 35°C under broken clouds and light southerly winds, confirm this peak during afternoon hours, aligning with typical late-dry-season patterns where clear skies and low humidity enable highs 2–3°C above April's 32°C average. Pre-event forecasts from NiMet anticipated thundery showers limiting peaks to 32°C, but observed partly cloudy conditions allowed greater solar heating. Realistic challenges would require data revisions from aviation logs or NiMet audits—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—while upcoming daily summaries may solidify this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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