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3月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？

Market icon

3月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

80-81°F 37%

82-83°F 28%

78-79°F 16%

84-85°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

80-81°F 37%

82-83°F 28%

78-79°F 16%

84-85°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

華氏73度或以下

$1,101 交易量

2%

74-75°F

$374 交易量

2%

76-77°F

$259 交易量

3%

78-79°F

$302 交易量

16%

80-81°F

$408 交易量

37%

82-83°F

$307 交易量

28%

84-85°F

$355 交易量

12%

86-87°F

$235 交易量

3%

88-89°F

$1,188 交易量

2%

90-91°F

$617 交易量

1%

92°F或更高

$1,221 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-81°F (34.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.0%) as Houston's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting uncertainty in post-frontal cooling after recent mid-80s highs. National Weather Service guidance, issued March 27, calls for mostly sunny skies with northeast winds 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph, yielding a high near 75°F at key stations like Bush Intercontinental (IAH)—cooler than climatological March norms around 74°F due to enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Differentiating the leading bins are model spreads on wind decay rates and boundary layer stability; lighter gusts or persistent urban heat island amplification could boost peaks by 3-5°F, while fuller cloudiness favors sub-80°F. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS revisions will sharpen focus ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-81°F (34.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.0%) as Houston's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting uncertainty in post-frontal cooling after recent mid-80s highs. National Weather Service guidance, issued March 27, calls for mostly sunny skies with northeast winds 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph, yielding a high near 75°F at key stations like Bush Intercontinental (IAH)—cooler than climatological March norms around 74°F due to enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Differentiating the leading bins are model spreads on wind decay rates and boundary layer stability; lighter gusts or persistent urban heat island amplification could boost peaks by 3-5°F, while fuller cloudiness favors sub-80°F. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS revisions will sharpen focus ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-81°F (34.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.0%) as Houston's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting uncertainty in post-frontal cooling after recent mid-80s highs. National Weather Service guidance, issued March 27, calls for mostly sunny skies with northeast winds 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph, yielding a high near 75°F at key stations like Bush Intercontinental (IAH)—cooler than climatological March norms around 74°F due to enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Differentiating the leading bins are model spreads on wind decay rates and boundary layer stability; lighter gusts or persistent urban heat island amplification could boost peaks by 3-5°F, while fuller cloudiness favors sub-80°F. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS revisions will sharpen focus ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-81°F (34.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.0%) as Houston's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting uncertainty in post-frontal cooling after recent mid-80s highs. National Weather Service guidance, issued March 27, calls for mostly sunny skies with northeast winds 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph, yielding a high near 75°F at key stations like Bush Intercontinental (IAH)—cooler than climatological March norms around 74°F due to enhanced mixing and drier air mass. Differentiating the leading bins are model spreads on wind decay rates and boundary layer stability; lighter gusts or persistent urban heat island amplification could boost peaks by 3-5°F, while fuller cloudiness favors sub-80°F. Overnight GFS/ECMWF updates and NWS revisions will sharpen focus ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80-81°F" at 37%, followed by "82-83°F" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？" is "80-81°F" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "82-83°F" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月29日休斯敦的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.