Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Denver on April 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations from the official KDEN station at Denver International Airport, where hourly ASOS measurements peaked near 68°F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a weak upper-level trough. This aligns closely with NOAA forecast model consensus projecting highs around 67°F, slightly below the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F, influenced by lingering cool air masses following recent frontal passages. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare post hoc data revisions in the final NWS Climatological Report—such as sensor recalibrations or quality-controlled adjustments—but these are uncommon for established automated surface observing systems, with the official summary expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日丹佛的最高溫度?
4月15日丹佛的最高溫度?
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$184,197 交易量
$184,197 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74度或以上
否
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$184,197 交易量
$184,197 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74度或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Denver on April 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations from the official KDEN station at Denver International Airport, where hourly ASOS measurements peaked near 68°F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a weak upper-level trough. This aligns closely with NOAA forecast model consensus projecting highs around 67°F, slightly below the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F, influenced by lingering cool air masses following recent frontal passages. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare post hoc data revisions in the final NWS Climatological Report—such as sensor recalibrations or quality-controlled adjustments—but these are uncommon for established automated surface observing systems, with the official summary expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions