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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

62-63°F 30%

60-61°F 20%

64-65°F 18%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$59,617 交易量

62-63°F 30%

60-61°F 20%

64-65°F 18%

58-59°F 14%

Polymarket

$59,617 交易量

華氏53度或以下

$10,117 交易量

1%

54-55°F

$4,231 交易量

1%

56-57°F

$5,831 交易量

6%

58-59°F

$3,782 交易量

14%

60-61°F

$3,490 交易量

20%

62-63°F

$3,393 交易量

30%

64-65°F

$4,472 交易量

18%

66-67°F

$4,477 交易量

8%

68-69°F

$3,860 交易量

5%

70-71°F

$4,799 交易量

2%

72°F or higher

$11,169 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's official Automated Surface Observing System site—projects a high temperature near 62°F today under partly sunny skies, with south-southwest winds around 10 mph advecting milder air masses northward after yesterday's cooler 49°F high, anchoring trader sentiment on the leading 62-63°F outcome at 28.5% implied probability. Tight clustering among 60-65°F bins (top three totaling ~65%) stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble uncertainty, where variable afternoon cloud cover may curb solar insolation and diurnal heating to favor 60-61°F, while clearer conditions and vigorous boundary-layer mixing could elevate peaks toward 64-65°F. Short-range forecast divergence highlights inherent model spread in boundary-layer processes; monitor real-time O'Hare observations during peak afternoon heating for resolution shifts.

National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's official Automated Surface Observing System site—projects a high temperature near 62°F today under partly sunny skies, with south-southwest winds around 10 mph advecting milder air masses northward after yesterday's cooler 49°F high, anchoring trader sentiment on the leading 62-63°F outcome at 28.5% implied probability. Tight clustering among 60-65°F bins (top three totaling ~65%) stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble uncertainty, where variable afternoon cloud cover may curb solar insolation and diurnal heating to favor 60-61°F, while clearer conditions and vigorous boundary-layer mixing could elevate peaks toward 64-65°F. Short-range forecast divergence highlights inherent model spread in boundary-layer processes; monitor real-time O'Hare observations during peak afternoon heating for resolution shifts.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's official Automated Surface Observing System site—projects a high temperature near 62°F today under partly sunny skies, with south-southwest winds around 10 mph advecting milder air masses northward after yesterday's cooler 49°F high, anchoring trader sentiment on the leading 62-63°F outcome at 28.5% implied probability. Tight clustering among 60-65°F bins (top three totaling ~65%) stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble uncertainty, where variable afternoon cloud cover may curb solar insolation and diurnal heating to favor 60-61°F, while clearer conditions and vigorous boundary-layer mixing could elevate peaks toward 64-65°F. Short-range forecast divergence highlights inherent model spread in boundary-layer processes; monitor real-time O'Hare observations during peak afternoon heating for resolution shifts.

National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's official Automated Surface Observing System site—projects a high temperature near 62°F today under partly sunny skies, with south-southwest winds around 10 mph advecting milder air masses northward after yesterday's cooler 49°F high, anchoring trader sentiment on the leading 62-63°F outcome at 28.5% implied probability. Tight clustering among 60-65°F bins (top three totaling ~65%) stems from GFS and ECMWF ensemble uncertainty, where variable afternoon cloud cover may curb solar insolation and diurnal heating to favor 60-61°F, while clearer conditions and vigorous boundary-layer mixing could elevate peaks toward 64-65°F. Short-range forecast divergence highlights inherent model spread in boundary-layer processes; monitor real-time O'Hare observations during peak afternoon heating for resolution shifts.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "62-63°F" at 30%, followed by "60-61°F" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" has generated $59.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" is "62-63°F" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "60-61°F" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.