Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 58°F or higher on April 3, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high near 62°F under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions with temperatures already climbing from morning lows into the 50s°F. Observational data from KORD METARs confirm midday readings surpassing 58°F, supported by a mild air mass following March's above-normal warmth and steering patterns limiting cold advection. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligns on peak warming before evening thunderstorms. Realistic challenges include denser cloud cover or an early cold front stalling further rises, though sunset limits upside potential as the daily maximum typically occurs by late afternoon. Final NWS observations will confirm resolution by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
58°F or higher 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$125,987 交易量
$125,987 交易量
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
Yes
58°F or higher 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$125,987 交易量
$125,987 交易量
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 58°F or higher on April 3, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high near 62°F under mostly cloudy, breezy conditions with temperatures already climbing from morning lows into the 50s°F. Observational data from KORD METARs confirm midday readings surpassing 58°F, supported by a mild air mass following March's above-normal warmth and steering patterns limiting cold advection. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligns on peak warming before evening thunderstorms. Realistic challenges include denser cloud cover or an early cold front stalling further rises, though sunset limits upside potential as the daily maximum typically occurs by late afternoon. Final NWS observations will confirm resolution by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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