National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution station, project a high temperature in the low 80s°F on April 14, driven by a persistent unseasonably warm southwesterly flow and ample sunshine, with current midday observations already reaching 73-75°F—well exceeding the historical April 14 normal of 58°F. Model consensus from recent NOAA runs reinforces this, showing minimal cloud interference despite scattered showers possible later. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 58°F or higher reflects this overwhelming observational and predictive evidence. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold frontal passage or unexpected heavy thunderstorms capping temperatures, both unlikely given steering patterns and dew point profiles supporting further heating into late afternoon. Hourly updates from NWS Chicago will finalize the outcome by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
58°F or higher 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$214,647 交易量
$214,647 交易量
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
Yes
58°F or higher 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$214,647 交易量
$214,647 交易量
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution station, project a high temperature in the low 80s°F on April 14, driven by a persistent unseasonably warm southwesterly flow and ample sunshine, with current midday observations already reaching 73-75°F—well exceeding the historical April 14 normal of 58°F. Model consensus from recent NOAA runs reinforces this, showing minimal cloud interference despite scattered showers possible later. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 58°F or higher reflects this overwhelming observational and predictive evidence. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold frontal passage or unexpected heavy thunderstorms capping temperatures, both unlikely given steering patterns and dew point profiles supporting further heating into late afternoon. Hourly updates from NWS Chicago will finalize the outcome by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions