National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's resolution source—indicate a daytime high near 42°F on April 1, 2026, positioning the 42-43°F outcome as trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability amid overcast skies, breezy north-northeast winds of 15 mph, and scattered showers from a recent cold front. This follows record warmth of 80°F on March 30, with a sharp cool-down in the cool post-frontal air mass limiting insolation and capping temperatures well below the 53°F April 1 normal. NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 42-45°F, though timing of any clearing or shower development introduces 2-3°F uncertainty; monitor hourly observations and afternoon forecast updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
42-43°F 45%
44-45°F 28%
40-41°F 19.9%
46-47°F 9%
$76,549 交易量
$76,549 交易量
2026-04-01
33°F or below
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
2%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
20%
42-43°F
45%
44-45°F
28%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
1%
42-43°F 45%
44-45°F 28%
40-41°F 19.9%
46-47°F 9%
$76,549 交易量
$76,549 交易量
2026-04-01
33°F or below
$6,391 交易量
<1%
34-35°F
$6,577 交易量
<1%
36-37°F
$8,665 交易量
2%
38-39°F
$6,738 交易量
3%
40-41°F
$6,142 交易量
20%
42-43°F
$4,817 交易量
45%
44-45°F
$4,981 交易量
28%
46-47°F
$4,955 交易量
9%
48-49°F
$4,936 交易量
3%
50-51°F
$5,506 交易量
1%
52°F or higher
$16,841 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's resolution source—indicate a daytime high near 42°F on April 1, 2026, positioning the 42-43°F outcome as trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability amid overcast skies, breezy north-northeast winds of 15 mph, and scattered showers from a recent cold front. This follows record warmth of 80°F on March 30, with a sharp cool-down in the cool post-frontal air mass limiting insolation and capping temperatures well below the 53°F April 1 normal. NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 42-45°F, though timing of any clearing or shower development introduces 2-3°F uncertainty; monitor hourly observations and afternoon forecast updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$76,549結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's resolution source—indicate a daytime high near 42°F on April 1, 2026, positioning the 42-43°F outcome as trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability amid overcast skies, breezy north-northeast winds of 15 mph, and scattered showers from a recent cold front. This follows record warmth of 80°F on March 30, with a sharp cool-down in the cool post-frontal air mass limiting insolation and capping temperatures well below the 53°F April 1 normal. NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 42-45°F, though timing of any clearing or shower development introduces 2-3°F uncertainty; monitor hourly observations and afternoon forecast updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$76,549結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport—the market's resolution source—indicate a daytime high near 42°F on April 1, 2026, positioning the 42-43°F outcome as trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability amid overcast skies, breezy north-northeast winds of 15 mph, and scattered showers from a recent cold front. This follows record warmth of 80°F on March 30, with a sharp cool-down in the cool post-frontal air mass limiting insolation and capping temperatures well below the 53°F April 1 normal. NOAA model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) converge on 42-45°F, though timing of any clearing or shower development introduces 2-3°F uncertainty; monitor hourly observations and afternoon forecast updates for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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