Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C or higher in Chengdu on March 28, driven by confirmed observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station—official source for market resolution via China Meteorological Administration (CMA) records—already exceeding 24°C during midday peaks under persistent high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover. This reflects a week-long warm anomaly, with recent days logging 20-23°C highs against March climatological normals of 17-20°C, bolstered by CMA forecast ensembles projecting sustained warmth. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold frontal passage or data revision in finalized Wunderground summaries, both improbable given stable upper-air patterns; end-of-day observations will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$94,842 交易量
$94,842 交易量
16°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$94,842 交易量
$94,842 交易量
16°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C or higher in Chengdu on March 28, driven by confirmed observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station—official source for market resolution via China Meteorological Administration (CMA) records—already exceeding 24°C during midday peaks under persistent high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover. This reflects a week-long warm anomaly, with recent days logging 20-23°C highs against March climatological normals of 17-20°C, bolstered by CMA forecast ensembles projecting sustained warmth. Realistic challenges would require an abrupt cold frontal passage or data revision in finalized Wunderground summaries, both improbable given stable upper-air patterns; end-of-day observations will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions