Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C or higher in Busan on April 17, aligning closely with the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official forecast of a 19°C daytime maximum under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. Current observational data shows morning temperatures climbing from 12°C lows amid stable high-pressure conditions that favor solar heating and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent spring warming patterns where April highs average 18°C. Model consensus from short-range forecasts supports further afternoon gains. Realistic challenges include persistent marine stratus, unexpected showers (forecast probability around 20-30%), or frontal boundary shifts capping the peak below 19°C, though KMA hourly updates through evening provide the definitive resolution criteria based on Busan station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$165,680 交易量
$165,680 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$165,680 交易量
$165,680 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C or higher in Busan on April 17, aligning closely with the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) official forecast of a 19°C daytime maximum under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. Current observational data shows morning temperatures climbing from 12°C lows amid stable high-pressure conditions that favor solar heating and minimal cloud interference, consistent with recent spring warming patterns where April highs average 18°C. Model consensus from short-range forecasts supports further afternoon gains. Realistic challenges include persistent marine stratus, unexpected showers (forecast probability around 20-30%), or frontal boundary shifts capping the peak below 19°C, though KMA hourly updates through evening provide the definitive resolution criteria based on Busan station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions