Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes and moderate humidity, positioning this outcome as the trader consensus frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours, incorporating upper-air analyses and surface observations from March 30–31, shifted projections upward from prior 17–18°C estimates by accounting for warmer air advection amid a weakening cold front. Historical early April highs in Beijing average 17–20°C on the Saffir-Simpson irrelevant scale here, with climatological norms supporting mild spring conditions under neutral ENSO influences. Key uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clearing boosting to 20°C or persistent cloud cover capping at 18°C; official high from CMA stations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 62%
18°C 27%
20°C 7.2%
21°C 1.9%
$89,533 交易量
$89,533 交易量
2026-04-01
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
27%
19°C
62%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 62%
18°C 27%
20°C 7.2%
21°C 1.9%
$89,533 交易量
$89,533 交易量
2026-04-01
13°C
$7,305 交易量
<1%
14°C
$6,943 交易量
<1%
15°C
$9,939 交易量
<1%
16°C
$16,804 交易量
<1%
17°C
$13,142 交易量
<1%
18°C
$5,750 交易量
27%
19°C
$7,256 交易量
62%
20°C
$7,194 交易量
7%
21°C
$4,805 交易量
2%
22°C or higher
$6,820 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes and moderate humidity, positioning this outcome as the trader consensus frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours, incorporating upper-air analyses and surface observations from March 30–31, shifted projections upward from prior 17–18°C estimates by accounting for warmer air advection amid a weakening cold front. Historical early April highs in Beijing average 17–20°C on the Saffir-Simpson irrelevant scale here, with climatological norms supporting mild spring conditions under neutral ENSO influences. Key uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clearing boosting to 20°C or persistent cloud cover capping at 18°C; official high from CMA stations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$89,533結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes and moderate humidity, positioning this outcome as the trader consensus frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours, incorporating upper-air analyses and surface observations from March 30–31, shifted projections upward from prior 17–18°C estimates by accounting for warmer air advection amid a weakening cold front. Historical early April highs in Beijing average 17–20°C on the Saffir-Simpson irrelevant scale here, with climatological norms supporting mild spring conditions under neutral ENSO influences. Key uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clearing boosting to 20°C or persistent cloud cover capping at 18°C; official high from CMA stations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,533結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETLatest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes and moderate humidity, positioning this outcome as the trader consensus frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours, incorporating upper-air analyses and surface observations from March 30–31, shifted projections upward from prior 17–18°C estimates by accounting for warmer air advection amid a weakening cold front. Historical early April highs in Beijing average 17–20°C on the Saffir-Simpson irrelevant scale here, with climatological norms supporting mild spring conditions under neutral ENSO influences. Key uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clearing boosting to 20°C or persistent cloud cover capping at 18°C; official high from CMA stations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the market by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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