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Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

86-87°F 34%

88-89°F 30%

84-85°F 21.4%

90-91°F 5%

Polymarket

$21,734 交易量

86-87°F 34%

88-89°F 30%

84-85°F 21.4%

90-91°F 5%

Polymarket

$21,734 交易量

75°F or below

$5,818 交易量

<1%

76-77°F

$1,712 交易量

<1%

78-79°F

$1,586 交易量

<1%

80-81°F

$1,513 交易量

2%

82-83°F

$2,524 交易量

2%

84-85°F

$1,994 交易量

21%

86-87°F

$1,190 交易量

31%

88-89°F

$1,329 交易量

30%

90-91°F

$1,032 交易量

5%

92-93°F

$1,444 交易量

2%

94°F or higher

$1,598 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Austin's March 27 high temperature falling in the 84-89°F range, with 88-89°F leading at 32% implied probability amid tight clustering around 86-88°F from major forecast models. National Weather Service guidance pegs the peak near 88°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation that boosts boundary layer heating above the climatological March average of 78°F. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS slightly warmer with maximal afternoon mixing, ECMWF cooler with potential thin high clouds—and urban heat island amplification in Austin, which could nudge peaks higher. New 12z model runs and hourly observations today will refine this narrow uncertainty window before evening resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,734
結束日期
Mar 27, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Austin's March 27 high temperature falling in the 84-89°F range, with 88-89°F leading at 32% implied probability amid tight clustering around 86-88°F from major forecast models. National Weather Service guidance pegs the peak near 88°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation that boosts boundary layer heating above the climatological March average of 78°F. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS slightly warmer with maximal afternoon mixing, ECMWF cooler with potential thin high clouds—and urban heat island amplification in Austin, which could nudge peaks higher. New 12z model runs and hourly observations today will refine this narrow uncertainty window before evening resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Austin's March 27 high temperature falling in the 84-89°F range, with 88-89°F leading at 32% implied probability amid tight clustering around 86-88°F from major forecast models. National Weather Service guidance pegs the peak near 88°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation that boosts boundary layer heating above the climatological March average of 78°F. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS slightly warmer with maximal afternoon mixing, ECMWF cooler with potential thin high clouds—and urban heat island amplification in Austin, which could nudge peaks higher. New 12z model runs and hourly observations today will refine this narrow uncertainty window before evening resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "86-87°F" at 31%, followed by "88-89°F" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?" has generated $21.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?" is "86-87°F" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "88-89°F" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.