Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
4月17日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
88-89°F 100.0%
華氏77度或以下 <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 交易量
$71,817 交易量
華氏77度或以下
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
是
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96°F或更高
否
88-89°F 100.0%
華氏77度或以下 <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 交易量
$71,817 交易量
華氏77度或以下
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
是
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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