ChatGPT中斷由... ？

Name: ChatGPT中斷由... ？
Start: 2026-03-18T00:16:22.614Z
End: 2026-03-20T00:00:00.000Z

科技·Chatgpt

ChatGPT中斷由... ？

Mar 20

$14,236 交易量

Mar 20, 2026

3 月 27 日

$2,595 交易量

33%

$14,236 交易量

3 月 27 日

$2,595 交易量

33%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for a major ChatGPT outage by year-end, driven by OpenAI's aggressive infrastructure scaling with Microsoft Azure, which has shortened resolution times for recent minor disruptions like the October 8 partial downtime affecting image gen. High-demand releases such as GPT-4o and o1-preview have tested limits but shown resilience, contrasting with rivals like Anthropic's Claude boasting near-perfect uptime. Watch holiday traffic surges and potential unannounced model launches as catalysts that could sway odds, amid OpenAI's focus on reliability to retain enterprise users.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 21, 2026, 2:03 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT中斷由... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3 月 27 日" at 33%, followed by "3 月 20 日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" has generated $14.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ChatGPT中斷由... ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" is "3 月 27 日" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3 月 20 日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "ChatGPT中斷由... ？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $14.2K traded on “ChatGPT中斷由... ？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "ChatGPT中斷由... ？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 33¢ for "3 月 27 日" in the "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 33% chance that "3 月 27 日" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 33¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 67¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" market has an active community of 39 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "ChatGPT中斷由... ？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

ChatGPT中斷由... ？

ChatGPT中斷由... ？

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (39)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "ChatGPT中斷由... ？"?

What are the current odds for "ChatGPT中斷由... ？"?

How will "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" be resolved?

Can I follow "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "ChatGPT中斷由... ？"?

What does a price of 33¢ for "3 月 27 日" mean?

When does the "ChatGPT中斷由... ？" market close?

What are traders saying about "ChatGPT中斷由... ？"?

What is Polymarket?