The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhen will the DHS shutdown end?
When will the DHS shutdown end?
After March 31 100.0%
Before February 16 <1%
February 16-19 <1%
February 20-23 <1%
$1,667,440 KL.
$1,667,440 KL.
Before February 16
No
February 16-19
No
February 20-23
No
February 24-27
No
February 28-March 3
No
March 4-7
No
March 8-11
No
March 12-15
No
March 16-19
No
March 20-23
No
March 24-27
No
March 28-31
No
After March 31
Yes
After March 31 100.0%
Before February 16 <1%
February 16-19 <1%
February 20-23 <1%
$1,667,440 KL.
$1,667,440 KL.
Before February 16
No
February 16-19
No
February 20-23
No
February 24-27
No
February 28-March 3
No
March 4-7
No
March 8-11
No
March 12-15
No
March 16-19
No
March 20-23
No
March 24-27
No
March 28-31
No
After March 31
Yes
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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