Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination for a fourth term with over 93 percent in Oregon's May 2026 primary, facing Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith, who prevailed in a divided GOP primary. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus favoring Merkley at 93 percent. Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate seat in Oregon since 2002, and Merkley's established record and fundraising advantage reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as unexpected national political shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOregon Senate Election Winner
Oregon Senate Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$3,065 KL.
93%
Republican
$1,177 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination for a fourth term with over 93 percent in Oregon's May 2026 primary, facing Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith, who prevailed in a divided GOP primary. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus favoring Merkley at 93 percent. Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate seat in Oregon since 2002, and Merkley's established record and fundraising advantage reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as unexpected national political shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,242Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination for a fourth term with over 93 percent in Oregon's May 2026 primary, facing Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith, who prevailed in a divided GOP primary. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus favoring Merkley at 93 percent. Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate seat in Oregon since 2002, and Merkley's established record and fundraising advantage reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as unexpected national political shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$4,242Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination for a fourth term with over 93 percent in Oregon's May 2026 primary, facing Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith, who prevailed in a divided GOP primary. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating, underpins trader consensus favoring Merkley at 93 percent. Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate seat in Oregon since 2002, and Merkley's established record and fundraising advantage reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as unexpected national political shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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