Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from Oregon's deep-blue partisan lean, where Democrats hold a supermajority in the state legislature, all statewide offices, and both Senate seats, with Harris winning by 14 points in 2024. Merkley, seeking a fourth term after 56.9% in 2020, faces a token primary challenger on May 19, while Republicans' crowded seven-candidate field—including past losers like Jo Rae Perkins—signals a fragmented, low-viability opposition lacking a high-profile recruit. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic. Upsets would require a scandal, health crisis, or massive national Republican midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOregon Senate Election Winner
Oregon Senate Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$2,967 KL.
92%
Republican
$1,177 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from Oregon's deep-blue partisan lean, where Democrats hold a supermajority in the state legislature, all statewide offices, and both Senate seats, with Harris winning by 14 points in 2024. Merkley, seeking a fourth term after 56.9% in 2020, faces a token primary challenger on May 19, while Republicans' crowded seven-candidate field—including past losers like Jo Rae Perkins—signals a fragmented, low-viability opposition lacking a high-profile recruit. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic. Upsets would require a scandal, health crisis, or massive national Republican midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,144Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from Oregon's deep-blue partisan lean, where Democrats hold a supermajority in the state legislature, all statewide offices, and both Senate seats, with Harris winning by 14 points in 2024. Merkley, seeking a fourth term after 56.9% in 2020, faces a token primary challenger on May 19, while Republicans' crowded seven-candidate field—including past losers like Jo Rae Perkins—signals a fragmented, low-viability opposition lacking a high-profile recruit. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic. Upsets would require a scandal, health crisis, or massive national Republican midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$4,144Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley's commanding trader consensus at 92.5% stems from Oregon's deep-blue partisan lean, where Democrats hold a supermajority in the state legislature, all statewide offices, and both Senate seats, with Harris winning by 14 points in 2024. Merkley, seeking a fourth term after 56.9% in 2020, faces a token primary challenger on May 19, while Republicans' crowded seven-candidate field—including past losers like Jo Rae Perkins—signals a fragmented, low-viability opposition lacking a high-profile recruit. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic. Upsets would require a scandal, health crisis, or massive national Republican midterm wave before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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