California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, driven by voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has shifted focus to a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have attracted limited support and resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as the district's composition makes a Democratic general election victory the overwhelming expectation. A significant challenge would require an unforeseen Republican surge in the primary or a dramatic shift in turnout patterns ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,127 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$701 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, driven by voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has shifted focus to a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have attracted limited support and resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as the district's composition makes a Democratic general election victory the overwhelming expectation. A significant challenge would require an unforeseen Republican surge in the primary or a dramatic shift in turnout patterns ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,828Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, driven by voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has shifted focus to a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have attracted limited support and resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as the district's composition makes a Democratic general election victory the overwhelming expectation. A significant challenge would require an unforeseen Republican surge in the primary or a dramatic shift in turnout patterns ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,828Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, driven by voter registration that favors Democrats by a wide margin and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after decades in the role has shifted focus to a crowded June 2, 2026, top-two primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, including state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, while Republican candidates have attracted limited support and resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, as the district's composition makes a Democratic general election victory the overwhelming expectation. A significant challenge would require an unforeseen Republican surge in the primary or a dramatic shift in turnout patterns ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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