Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces AG Ken Paxton in the May 26 Republican primary runoff after neither secured a March 3 majority, with recent April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and co/efficient showing Paxton leading 48%-40% and 44%-43%, respectively, signaling base dissatisfaction with establishment figures. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, who upset Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the primary, announced a record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul on April 15, dwarfing rivals and building a $9.8 million war chest amid reports of Democratic Senate momentum. Tight general polls, like March PPP showing Talarico edging both Republicans, reflect the contest's volatility, but Texas's Republican lean—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and GOP turnout edge underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 56.5%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$178,118 KL.
$178,118 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
56%
Democrat
43%
$178,118 KL.
$178,118 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$94,190 KL.
56%
Democrat
$83,927 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces AG Ken Paxton in the May 26 Republican primary runoff after neither secured a March 3 majority, with recent April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and co/efficient showing Paxton leading 48%-40% and 44%-43%, respectively, signaling base dissatisfaction with establishment figures. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, who upset Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the primary, announced a record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul on April 15, dwarfing rivals and building a $9.8 million war chest amid reports of Democratic Senate momentum. Tight general polls, like March PPP showing Talarico edging both Republicans, reflect the contest's volatility, but Texas's Republican lean—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and GOP turnout edge underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 56.5%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$178,118Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces AG Ken Paxton in the May 26 Republican primary runoff after neither secured a March 3 majority, with recent April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and co/efficient showing Paxton leading 48%-40% and 44%-43%, respectively, signaling base dissatisfaction with establishment figures. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, who upset Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the primary, announced a record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul on April 15, dwarfing rivals and building a $9.8 million war chest amid reports of Democratic Senate momentum. Tight general polls, like March PPP showing Talarico edging both Republicans, reflect the contest's volatility, but Texas's Republican lean—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and GOP turnout edge underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 56.5%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$178,118Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn faces AG Ken Paxton in the May 26 Republican primary runoff after neither secured a March 3 majority, with recent April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and co/efficient showing Paxton leading 48%-40% and 44%-43%, respectively, signaling base dissatisfaction with establishment figures. Democratic nominee state Rep. James Talarico, who upset Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the primary, announced a record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul on April 15, dwarfing rivals and building a $9.8 million war chest amid reports of Democratic Senate momentum. Tight general polls, like March PPP showing Talarico edging both Republicans, reflect the contest's volatility, but Texas's Republican lean—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and GOP turnout edge underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at 56.5%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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