Ken Paxton's decisive Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the consensus favorite in the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in Senate contests provides Paxton structural advantages in turnout and rural voter support, even as his prior impeachment and ongoing legal scrutiny have drawn sustained Democratic attacks and fueled James Talarico's strong post-primary fundraising surge. Recent polling shows the race tightening to within a few points, reflecting Talarico's appeal among moderates and independents, yet trader pricing continues to price in the state's partisan baseline and historical patterns favoring GOP nominees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$400,763 KL.
$400,763 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
62%
James Talarico (D)
39%
$400,763 KL.
$400,763 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
$240,461 KL.
62%
James Talarico (D)
$160,302 KL.
39%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the consensus favorite in the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in Senate contests provides Paxton structural advantages in turnout and rural voter support, even as his prior impeachment and ongoing legal scrutiny have drawn sustained Democratic attacks and fueled James Talarico's strong post-primary fundraising surge. Recent polling shows the race tightening to within a few points, reflecting Talarico's appeal among moderates and independents, yet trader pricing continues to price in the state's partisan baseline and historical patterns favoring GOP nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$400,763Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the consensus favorite in the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in Senate contests provides Paxton structural advantages in turnout and rural voter support, even as his prior impeachment and ongoing legal scrutiny have drawn sustained Democratic attacks and fueled James Talarico's strong post-primary fundraising surge. Recent polling shows the race tightening to within a few points, reflecting Talarico's appeal among moderates and independents, yet trader pricing continues to price in the state's partisan baseline and historical patterns favoring GOP nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$400,763Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton's decisive Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, has positioned the Texas attorney general as the consensus favorite in the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in Senate contests provides Paxton structural advantages in turnout and rural voter support, even as his prior impeachment and ongoing legal scrutiny have drawn sustained Democratic attacks and fueled James Talarico's strong post-primary fundraising surge. Recent polling shows the race tightening to within a few points, reflecting Talarico's appeal among moderates and independents, yet trader pricing continues to price in the state's partisan baseline and historical patterns favoring GOP nominees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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