Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) dominates fundraising cash-on-hand at $2.6 million through March 31 in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 vote, while challenger Eric Jones (D) leads total raised at $3.2 million with progressive endorsements like Our Revolution. The Solid Democratic district (D+17 PVI), redrawn in late 2025 to modestly favor Democrats, features a fragmented Republican field of six candidates plus one independent, likely splitting conservative votes and enabling two Democrats to advance per historical top-two patterns. No public polls exist, but steady Q1 finance reports reinforce trader consensus on Thompson and Jones; ballots mail May 4, with early voting starting then.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$20,755 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
10%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
John Wesley Tyler
41%
$20,755 KL.
Mike Thompson
$6,502 KL.
99%
Eric Jones
$4,052 KL.
95%
Trevor Merrell
$6,288 KL.
15%
Heath Fulkerson
$252 KL.
10%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 KL.
6%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 KL.
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 KL.
5%
John Wesley Tyler
$618 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) dominates fundraising cash-on-hand at $2.6 million through March 31 in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 vote, while challenger Eric Jones (D) leads total raised at $3.2 million with progressive endorsements like Our Revolution. The Solid Democratic district (D+17 PVI), redrawn in late 2025 to modestly favor Democrats, features a fragmented Republican field of six candidates plus one independent, likely splitting conservative votes and enabling two Democrats to advance per historical top-two patterns. No public polls exist, but steady Q1 finance reports reinforce trader consensus on Thompson and Jones; ballots mail May 4, with early voting starting then.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,755Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) dominates fundraising cash-on-hand at $2.6 million through March 31 in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 vote, while challenger Eric Jones (D) leads total raised at $3.2 million with progressive endorsements like Our Revolution. The Solid Democratic district (D+17 PVI), redrawn in late 2025 to modestly favor Democrats, features a fragmented Republican field of six candidates plus one independent, likely splitting conservative votes and enabling two Democrats to advance per historical top-two patterns. No public polls exist, but steady Q1 finance reports reinforce trader consensus on Thompson and Jones; ballots mail May 4, with early voting starting then.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$20,755Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) dominates fundraising cash-on-hand at $2.6 million through March 31 in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 vote, while challenger Eric Jones (D) leads total raised at $3.2 million with progressive endorsements like Our Revolution. The Solid Democratic district (D+17 PVI), redrawn in late 2025 to modestly favor Democrats, features a fragmented Republican field of six candidates plus one independent, likely splitting conservative votes and enabling two Democrats to advance per historical top-two patterns. No public polls exist, but steady Q1 finance reports reinforce trader consensus on Thompson and Jones; ballots mail May 4, with early voting starting then.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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