Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D), a moderate with 28 years in Congress, faces a serious intra-party challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones, a 35-year-old venture capitalist and nonprofit founder, in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Both dominate fundraising with over $3 million raised per mid-April FEC reports—Jones self-funding $364,000—while six Republicans and one independent trail far behind, risking vote fragmentation that favors the Democratic duo advancing. Redistricting under Proposition 50 slightly narrowed the Solid Democratic lean, but no public polling exists. Recent voter guides highlight the generational contrast, with Democratic Party backing Thompson and progressive groups endorsing Jones; Article One PAC spending emerged late April.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$23,087 KL.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
91%
Heath Fulkerson
12%
Trevor Merrell
12%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
Sharon Brown
7%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
$23,087 KL.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
91%
Heath Fulkerson
12%
Trevor Merrell
12%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
Sharon Brown
7%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D), a moderate with 28 years in Congress, faces a serious intra-party challenge from well-funded Democrat Eric Jones, a 35-year-old venture capitalist and nonprofit founder, in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Both dominate fundraising with over $3 million raised per mid-April FEC reports—Jones self-funding $364,000—while six Republicans and one independent trail far behind, risking vote fragmentation that favors the Democratic duo advancing. Redistricting under Proposition 50 slightly narrowed the Solid Democratic lean, but no public polling exists. Recent voter guides highlight the generational contrast, with Democratic Party backing Thompson and progressive groups endorsing Jones; Article One PAC spending emerged late April.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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