**The primary driver behind the 63% market-implied probability for “No” is the extended timeline of Tennessee felony proceedings.** Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) was charged in May 2026 with attempted first-degree murder and related felonies after a courthouse shooting in Clarksville; the case remains in grand-jury review with no trial date set. He posted $1 million bond in August 2026 and is under house arrest, but complex violent-felony cases with self-defense claims routinely require 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict. With the market resolving only if a conviction occurs by July 31, 2027, traders view the remaining window as too narrow for a definitive outcome, outweighing the seriousness of the charges and the public nature of the incident. Upcoming grand-jury action or any plea discussions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật18% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 31, 2027
18% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 31, 2027
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**The primary driver behind the 63% market-implied probability for “No” is the extended timeline of Tennessee felony proceedings.** Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) was charged in May 2026 with attempted first-degree murder and related felonies after a courthouse shooting in Clarksville; the case remains in grand-jury review with no trial date set. He posted $1 million bond in August 2026 and is under house arrest, but complex violent-felony cases with self-defense claims routinely require 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict. With the market resolving only if a conviction occurs by July 31, 2027, traders view the remaining window as too narrow for a definitive outcome, outweighing the seriousness of the charges and the public nature of the incident. Upcoming grand-jury action or any plea discussions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,034Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**The primary driver behind the 63% market-implied probability for “No” is the extended timeline of Tennessee felony proceedings.** Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) was charged in May 2026 with attempted first-degree murder and related felonies after a courthouse shooting in Clarksville; the case remains in grand-jury review with no trial date set. He posted $1 million bond in August 2026 and is under house arrest, but complex violent-felony cases with self-defense claims routinely require 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict. With the market resolving only if a conviction occurs by July 31, 2027, traders view the remaining window as too narrow for a definitive outcome, outweighing the seriousness of the charges and the public nature of the incident. Upcoming grand-jury action or any plea discussions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$1,034Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**The primary driver behind the 63% market-implied probability for “No” is the extended timeline of Tennessee felony proceedings.** Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) was charged in May 2026 with attempted first-degree murder and related felonies after a courthouse shooting in Clarksville; the case remains in grand-jury review with no trial date set. He posted $1 million bond in August 2026 and is under house arrest, but complex violent-felony cases with self-defense claims routinely require 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict. With the market resolving only if a conviction occurs by July 31, 2027, traders view the remaining window as too narrow for a definitive outcome, outweighing the seriousness of the charges and the public nature of the incident. Upcoming grand-jury action or any plea discussions represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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