Major credit rating agencies have affirmed the United States at AA+ or equivalent levels with stable outlooks through mid-2026, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve currency status, and fiscal deficits that remain elevated yet not materially worsening. S&P Global and Fitch reaffirmed their AA+ ratings in June and August 2026 respectively, pointing to solid revenue collection including from tariffs and credible monetary policy as offsets to high debt-to-GDP ratios projected to climb above 120 percent. Moody’s recent move lowered its rating by one notch but maintained a negative outlook rather than signaling imminent further cuts. Analysts note that another downgrade so soon after prior actions would be unusual absent a sharp fiscal deterioration or debt-ceiling crisis, both viewed as low-probability events before 2027 given institutional flexibility and market access. Trader consensus reflects these stable assessments and limited near-term catalysts for change.
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