Major agencies have held U.S. sovereign ratings steady since Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 with a stable outlook, aligning S&P and Fitch at AA+ and eliminating near-term review pressure. The July 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion supplies borrowing headroom well into 2027, while CBO’s February 2026 baseline projects a $1.9 trillion fiscal 2026 deficit and debt held by the public rising gradually to 110 percent of GDP by 2031 without triggering acute political shocks. Traders therefore assign the 78.5 percent implied probability to “No,” viewing the absence of abrupt policy reversals or governance erosion beyond levels already priced into current ratings as supportive of stability through year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$10,721 KL.
$10,721 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,721 KL.
$10,721 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Major agencies have held U.S. sovereign ratings steady since Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 with a stable outlook, aligning S&P and Fitch at AA+ and eliminating near-term review pressure. The July 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion supplies borrowing headroom well into 2027, while CBO’s February 2026 baseline projects a $1.9 trillion fiscal 2026 deficit and debt held by the public rising gradually to 110 percent of GDP by 2031 without triggering acute political shocks. Traders therefore assign the 78.5 percent implied probability to “No,” viewing the absence of abrupt policy reversals or governance erosion beyond levels already priced into current ratings as supportive of stability through year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,721Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Major agencies have held U.S. sovereign ratings steady since Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 with a stable outlook, aligning S&P and Fitch at AA+ and eliminating near-term review pressure. The July 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion supplies borrowing headroom well into 2027, while CBO’s February 2026 baseline projects a $1.9 trillion fiscal 2026 deficit and debt held by the public rising gradually to 110 percent of GDP by 2031 without triggering acute political shocks. Traders therefore assign the 78.5 percent implied probability to “No,” viewing the absence of abrupt policy reversals or governance erosion beyond levels already priced into current ratings as supportive of stability through year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$10,721Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Major agencies have held U.S. sovereign ratings steady since Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 with a stable outlook, aligning S&P and Fitch at AA+ and eliminating near-term review pressure. The July 2025 debt-ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion supplies borrowing headroom well into 2027, while CBO’s February 2026 baseline projects a $1.9 trillion fiscal 2026 deficit and debt held by the public rising gradually to 110 percent of GDP by 2031 without triggering acute political shocks. Traders therefore assign the 78.5 percent implied probability to “No,” viewing the absence of abrupt policy reversals or governance erosion beyond levels already priced into current ratings as supportive of stability through year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp