Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin remains president through December 31, 2026, midway through his constitutional term ending in 2030 following the 2024 election. Recent public appearances, including April 13 talks with Indonesia's president and ongoing Kremlin activities, signal continuity despite unverified health rumors from March coughing incidents, which officials dismissed. Persistent suppression of opposition, control over security services, and elite loyalty—evident amid economic contraction and Ukraine war strains—bolster stability, with no credible coup signals or resignation announcements in the past 30 days. Late-breaking health events, internal fractures, or diplomatic shifts could alter odds, though historical patterns favor endurance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПутін вийде з посади президента Росії до 31 грудня 2026 року?
Путін вийде з посади президента Росії до 31 грудня 2026 року?
Так
$3,973,596 Обс.
$3,973,596 Обс.
Так
$3,973,596 Обс.
$3,973,596 Обс.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus reflects a 90.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin remains president through December 31, 2026, midway through his constitutional term ending in 2030 following the 2024 election. Recent public appearances, including April 13 talks with Indonesia's president and ongoing Kremlin activities, signal continuity despite unverified health rumors from March coughing incidents, which officials dismissed. Persistent suppression of opposition, control over security services, and elite loyalty—evident amid economic contraction and Ukraine war strains—bolster stability, with no credible coup signals or resignation announcements in the past 30 days. Late-breaking health events, internal fractures, or diplomatic shifts could alter odds, though historical patterns favor endurance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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