The stalled Ukraine peace process, with no breakthrough following the 2025 Alaska summit and subsequent shelved plans for additional talks, underpins trader consensus favoring no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31. Ongoing bilateral calls and U.S. diplomatic efforts have yet to produce scheduling commitments or venue agreements, amid persistent battlefield developments and sanctions activity that limit momentum for high-level engagement. China leads alternative outcomes due to its potential role as a neutral multilateral site tied to broader diplomatic or economic forums, while locations like Russia or the United States remain improbable given procedural and political constraints. Recent statements from both governments emphasize continued dialogue without timelines, aligning with the market's emphasis on uncertainty through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 67%
China 28%
Russia 1.7%
United States 1.1%
$367,279 Обс.
$367,279 Обс.

No meeting by December 31
67%

China
28%

Russia
2%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 67%
China 28%
Russia 1.7%
United States 1.1%
$367,279 Обс.
$367,279 Обс.

No meeting by December 31
67%

China
28%

Russia
2%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The stalled Ukraine peace process, with no breakthrough following the 2025 Alaska summit and subsequent shelved plans for additional talks, underpins trader consensus favoring no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31. Ongoing bilateral calls and U.S. diplomatic efforts have yet to produce scheduling commitments or venue agreements, amid persistent battlefield developments and sanctions activity that limit momentum for high-level engagement. China leads alternative outcomes due to its potential role as a neutral multilateral site tied to broader diplomatic or economic forums, while locations like Russia or the United States remain improbable given procedural and political constraints. Recent statements from both governments emphasize continued dialogue without timelines, aligning with the market's emphasis on uncertainty through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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