Ukrainian drone strikes have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to suspend arrivals and departures at Moscow’s major airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo—for safety during air-defense operations. Multiple large-scale attacks in June and early July 2026, including one involving over 430 drones targeting the region, triggered closures lasting several hours and broader airspace restrictions such as lowered flight altitudes and transit bans through at least mid-August. These measures reflect ongoing conflict dynamics, with Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and Russian defensive responses driving trader assessments of future suspensions. Any escalation in drone activity or shifts in Russian air-defense protocols could influence implied probabilities for resolutions tied to specific deadlines like August 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
$48,074 Обс.
August 31
100%
$48,074 Обс.
August 31
100%
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian drone strikes have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to suspend arrivals and departures at Moscow’s major airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo—for safety during air-defense operations. Multiple large-scale attacks in June and early July 2026, including one involving over 430 drones targeting the region, triggered closures lasting several hours and broader airspace restrictions such as lowered flight altitudes and transit bans through at least mid-August. These measures reflect ongoing conflict dynamics, with Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and Russian defensive responses driving trader assessments of future suspensions. Any escalation in drone activity or shifts in Russian air-defense protocols could influence implied probabilities for resolutions tied to specific deadlines like August 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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