Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back a pause-pause-pause sequence for FOMC decisions in March, April, and June 2026, with 91% implied probability reflecting the Federal Reserve's March hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target amid reaccelerating inflation pressures. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market that tempers rate-cut expectations. The Fed's March dot plot envisions just one 25-basis-point cut later in 2026, aligning with CME Fed funds futures pricing steady rates near 3.6% through June. Weaker-than-expected April CPI or labor data ahead of the April 28-29 meeting could challenge this consensus by reviving easing bets.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiDuraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat 91%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir 7%
Diğer 1.7%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla 1.1%
$907,783 Hac.
$907,783 Hac.
17 Haz 2026
Duraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat
91%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir
7%
Diğer
2%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla
1%
Sürdürecek–İndirecek–İndirecek
1%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat 91%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir 7%
Diğer 1.7%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla 1.1%
$907,783 Hac.
$907,783 Hac.
17 Haz 2026
Duraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat
$32,968 Hac.
91%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir
$15,303 Hac.
7%
Diğer
$216,634 Hac.
2%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla
$132,599 Hac.
1%
Sürdürecek–İndirecek–İndirecek
$510,280 Hac.
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPolymarket traders overwhelmingly back a pause-pause-pause sequence for FOMC decisions in March, April, and June 2026, with 91% implied probability reflecting the Federal Reserve's March hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target amid reaccelerating inflation pressures. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market that tempers rate-cut expectations. The Fed's March dot plot envisions just one 25-basis-point cut later in 2026, aligning with CME Fed funds futures pricing steady rates near 3.6% through June. Weaker-than-expected April CPI or labor data ahead of the April 28-29 meeting could challenge this consensus by reviving easing bets.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Hacim
$907,783Bitiş Tarihi
17 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPolymarket traders overwhelmingly back a pause-pause-pause sequence for FOMC decisions in March, April, and June 2026, with 91% implied probability reflecting the Federal Reserve's March hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target amid reaccelerating inflation pressures. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market that tempers rate-cut expectations. The Fed's March dot plot envisions just one 25-basis-point cut later in 2026, aligning with CME Fed funds futures pricing steady rates near 3.6% through June. Weaker-than-expected April CPI or labor data ahead of the April 28-29 meeting could challenge this consensus by reviving easing bets.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Hacim
$907,783Bitiş Tarihi
17 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back a pause-pause-pause sequence for FOMC decisions in March, April, and June 2026, with 91% implied probability reflecting the Federal Reserve's March hold at the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate target amid reaccelerating inflation pressures. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%, signaling a resilient labor market that tempers rate-cut expectations. The Fed's March dot plot envisions just one 25-basis-point cut later in 2026, aligning with CME Fed funds futures pricing steady rates near 3.6% through June. Weaker-than-expected April CPI or labor data ahead of the April 28-29 meeting could challenge this consensus by reviving easing bets.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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