Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for Federal Reserve pauses at the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting the March 17-18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a 0.9% monthly surge and 3.3% annual rate—the hottest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs. Chair Powell's recent remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on inflation risks, diminishing near-term cut odds. The April 28-29 meeting looms as the next catalyst, with trader capital heavily backing no changes through June absent cooling data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiDuraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat 88%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir 10%
Diğer 1.3%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla <1%
$903,530 Hac.
$903,530 Hac.
17 Haz 2026
Duraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat
88%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir
10%
Diğer
1%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla
<1%
Sürdürecek–İndirecek–İndirecek
<1%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat 88%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir 10%
Diğer 1.3%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla <1%
$903,530 Hac.
$903,530 Hac.
17 Haz 2026
Duraklat–Duraklat–Duraklat
$29,921 Hac.
88%
Duraklat–Duraklat–Faiz İndir
$15,046 Hac.
10%
Diğer
$216,461 Hac.
1%
Durakla–İndir–Durakla
$132,349 Hac.
<1%
Sürdürecek–İndirecek–İndirecek
$509,754 Hac.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for Federal Reserve pauses at the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting the March 17-18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a 0.9% monthly surge and 3.3% annual rate—the hottest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs. Chair Powell's recent remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on inflation risks, diminishing near-term cut odds. The April 28-29 meeting looms as the next catalyst, with trader capital heavily backing no changes through June absent cooling data.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Hacim
$903,530Bitiş Tarihi
17 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for Federal Reserve pauses at the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting the March 17-18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a 0.9% monthly surge and 3.3% annual rate—the hottest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs. Chair Powell's recent remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on inflation risks, diminishing near-term cut odds. The April 28-29 meeting looms as the next catalyst, with trader capital heavily backing no changes through June absent cooling data.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Hacim
$903,530Bitiş Tarihi
17 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for Federal Reserve pauses at the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, reflecting the March 17-18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid resilient labor markets and reaccelerating inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a 0.9% monthly surge and 3.3% annual rate—the hottest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs. Chair Powell's recent remarks emphasized a "wait-and-see" stance on inflation risks, diminishing near-term cut odds. The April 28-29 meeting looms as the next catalyst, with trader capital heavily backing no changes through June absent cooling data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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