Recent April CPI data, which printed at a hotter-than-expected 0.6% month-over-month and 3.8% year-over-year amid surging energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May print. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI at 0.46% month-over-month, reflecting partial fade in gasoline pressures alongside persistent shelter and goods inflation from tariff pass-through and fiscal stimulus effects. This dynamic supports the market-implied concentration around 0.4–0.6%, with 0.5% holding the clearest consensus at over 50%. Key near-term catalysts include the June 10 release and any further energy market volatility, while broader labor and policy factors limit downside risks below 0.4%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update0.5% 51%
0.6% 22%
0.4% 18.9%
0.3% 4.2%
$50,248 Vol.
$50,248 Vol.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
19%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
22%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
2%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.6% 22%
0.4% 18.9%
0.3% 4.2%
$50,248 Vol.
$50,248 Vol.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
1%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
19%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
22%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
2%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data, which printed at a hotter-than-expected 0.6% month-over-month and 3.8% year-over-year amid surging energy prices tied to Middle East tensions, continues to anchor trader expectations for the May print. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI at 0.46% month-over-month, reflecting partial fade in gasoline pressures alongside persistent shelter and goods inflation from tariff pass-through and fiscal stimulus effects. This dynamic supports the market-implied concentration around 0.4–0.6%, with 0.5% holding the clearest consensus at over 50%. Key near-term catalysts include the June 10 release and any further energy market volatility, while broader labor and policy factors limit downside risks below 0.4%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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